Web 2.0 hits saturation

Filed in Management | Technology | Venture capital

Buzzmeister’s beware!  The Valleywag buzzmeter shows Web 2.0 hits saturation.   That’s so 2006.  How should a capital hungry business owner create excitement among the technology captains of capital?

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Web 2.0 – A Bubble, Hype, for the Lucky Few?

Filed in Management | Technology | Venture capital

Tom Evslin’s post Web 2.0 – Greater Initial Investments Required suggests that early Web 2.0 companies seized the advantage of low cost technical infrastructure and low cost marketing to gain cost advantages.  These companies were able to get big cheaper and faster than the first generation internet companies.  While he agrees with Fred Willson that the technology cost will remain low, he suggest the lower promotion expense is now behind us.  The low cost of technology results in a lower cost of entry and will in fact increase promotional spending and the need for capital.

In any event, both men are suggesting there will be capital required to grow these companies going forward.  Those who are putting their business plans together without consideration for this cost increase will at least have some tough funding questions or worse some serious costs overruns. 

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Managing next-generation IT infrastructure

Filed in Technology

The McKinsey Quarterly

In recent years, companies have worked hard to reduce the cost of the IT infrastructure—the data centers, networks, databases, and software tools that support businesses. These efforts to consolidate, standardize, and streamline assets, technologies, and processes have delivered major savings. Yet even the most effective cost-cutting program eventually hits a wall: the complexity of the infrastructure itself.

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2004 IT Spending Trends

Filed in Economy | Technology

IT investment trends for 2004 via a few key articles.

CIOs Still Have A Cautious Outlook For 2004 IT Budgets
Forrester Business Technographics
November 7, 2003

Outlook for 2004 App Budgets: Conservative Growth
Forrester Business Technographics
December 1, 2003

Tech Resurrection Will Be Accompanied by Significant Structural Change, According to IDC Predictions 2004
09 Dec 2003

See full report. Registration is required.

Gartner Sees IT Spending Rebound
November 11, 2003
By Roy Mark

Some IT Purse Strings May Be Loosened Next Year
DECEMBER 01, 2003 ( COMPUTERWORLD )

IT Spending to Rebound in Early 2004, Says SIIA Survey; Web services, Security, Wireless to Benefit from Recovery

SIIA Technology Spending Horizons Survey
October 2003
Acrobat

Tech spending ‘to surge in 2004′
BBC

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10 Emerging Technologies That Will Change Your World

Filed in Biotechnology | Economy | Healthcare | Technology

Technology Review unveils its annual selection of hot new technologies about to affect our lives in revolutionary ways—and profiles the innovators behind them.

Universal Translation
Synthetic Biology
Nanowires
Bayesian Machine Learning
T-Rays
Distributed Storage
RNA Interference
Power Grid Control
Microfluidic Optical Fibers
Personal Genomics

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Top Internet Trends for 2004

Filed in Economy | Publishing | Technology

Rob Greenlee, Host WebTalk Radio, predicts:
1. The decline of the web browser usage on the desktop as a way to get to web content
2. The growth of Internet applications – the executable Internet
3. All things wireless
4. Digital media enters the living room
5. Professional journalistic weblogs are syndicated through RSS
6. Microsoft mobile platforms
7. Voice over IP (VoIP) makes mainstream calls
8. Internet radio growth and revenue
9. Online search extends beyond web
10. How online popularity is creating world wide celebrities

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Seeking the Unconventional Accurate Prediction

Filed in Economy | Management | Technology | Venture capital

Bill Gurley outlines the future trends in VC investing via the ever present 2 x 2 matrix (Accurate vs. Inaccurate x Conventional vs. Non-conventional). Of course, we can all agree that inaccurate predictions are worthless. Gurley suggests the Conventional/Accurate predictions are also worth very little. The market prices the high expectations into a marketable security while the early stage investors fund too many companies for the market.

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